Weather Assessment for the period 1^st to 15^th February 2026.

In Trinidad, there are no dryness/drought concerns across eastern Caroni Plains and northeastern areas. However western Trinidad has observed a decline in rainfall with below normal rainfall observed at Piarco. From the 1^st to 15^th  February, Piarco observed below normal rainfall with a 15-day rainfall total of 11.7 mm due to three relatively wet days. Meanwhile farmlands across southwest Tobago also received below normal rainfall as Crown Point observed a 15-day rainfall total of 36.1 mm due to one extremely wet day (13^th) with one relatively wet day.

The rainfall totals maps for the period 1^st to 15^th  February for Trinidad and Tobago are located below as figure 1 and figure 2.

Figure 1. Rainfall map of Trinidad showing measured rainfall totals for varying districts during the period 1st  - 15th of February 2026. 

Figure 2. Rainfall map of Tobago showing measured rainfall totals for varying districts during the period 1st  - 15th of February 2026.

 

Temperatures:

During the first half of February 2026, no hot days or spells were observed at either Piarco (maximum temperature at least 34.0 ⁰C) or Crown Point (maximum temperatures at least 33.0 ⁰C).

From 1^st to 15^th of February, Piarco mainly observed several warm days (6-9^th) with a maximum daytime temperature 32.1 ⁰C. Nighttime temperatures were also near- to above average as minimum temperatures ranged from 21.8 ⁰C to a warm 24.2 ⁰C at Piarco. 

Crown Point, Tobago observed near normal daytime temperatures and above-normal nighttime temperatures from 1^st to 15^th of February.The maximum daytime temperature was 30.6 ⁰C (9^th) and the minimum temperatures ranged from 22.4 ⁰C to a warm 25.9 ⁰C.

Factoring the relative humidity however these temperatures had a ‘real feel’ that was higher than the observed maximum temperature.

Agro-meteorological Forecast:

Date	Weather			Temperature	Heat ‘Real Feel’	Day Moisture (Relative Humidity)	Wind
16	40% chance of rainfall	1-3 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly cloudy,hazy, breezy, isolated showers	Warm Max/Min Temperatures 32°C/22°C	Feels like 33°C-33°C	45-70%	East 20-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
17	60% chance of rainfall	1-5 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly to mostly cloudy,hazy, isolated showers	Warm Max/Min Temperatures 31°C/23°C	Feels like 33°C-34°C	57-80%	East 20-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
18	60% chance of rainfall	1-4 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly to mostly cloudy,hazy, isolated showers	Warm Max/Min Temperatures 31°C/23°C	Feels like 33°C-35°C	60-80%	East 20-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
19	60% chance of rainfall	1-6 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly to mostly cloudy,hazy, isolated showers	Warm Max/Min Temperatures 32°C/22°C	Feels like 34°C-35°C	53-75%	East 20-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
20	60% chance of rainfall	1-6 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly to mostly cloudy,hazy, isolated showers	Warm Max/Min Temperatures 32°C/22°C	Feels like 34°C-35°C	53-75%	East 20-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
21	40% chance of rainfall	1-4 mm of rainfall is possible	Hazy, breezy, brisk isolated showers	Warm Max/Min Temperatures 32°C/22°C	Feels like 34°C-35°C	51-70%	East 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
22	40% chance of rainfall	1-4 mm of rainfall is possible	Hazy, breezy, brisk isolated showers	Warm Max/Min Temperatures 32°C/22°C	Feels like 34°C-35°C	51-70%	East 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
23	40% chance of rainfall	1-4 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly to mostly cloudy, few showers	Warm Max/Min Temperatures 32°C/23°C	Feels like 34°C-35°C	51-75%	East 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
24	40% chance of rainfall	1-4 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly to mostly cloudy, few showers	Warm Max/Min Temperatures 31.5°C/23°C	Feels like 34°C-35°C	55-75%	East 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
25	60% chance of rainfall	1-4 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly to mostly cloudy, isolated showers	Warm Max/Min Temperatures 31.5°C/23°C	Feels like 34°C-35°C	55-75%	East 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
26	60% chance of rainfall	1-5 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly to mostly cloudy, isolated showers	Warm Max/Min Temperatures 31°C/23°C	Feels like 34°C-34°C	55-75%	East 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
27	70% chance of rainfall	1-5 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly to mostly cloudy, isolated showers	Warm Max/Min Temperatures 31°C/23°C	Feels like 34°C-34°C	55-75%	East 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
28	70% chance of rainfall	1-5 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly to mostly cloudy, isolated showers	Warm Max/Min Temperatures 31°C/23°C	Feels like 34°C-34°C	55-75%	East 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h

Trinidad Rainfall Forecast for the 15-Day period of February (16^th to 28^th) 2026.

Figure 3.  Rainfall map of Trinidad showing expected mean rainfall totals for districts across Trinidad during the 15-day period (16^th to 28^th February 2026) and percentage probability of occurrence.

Eastern and North-Eastern areas: Moderate chance (65%) of mean daily rainfall up to 3.0 mm.

South-Eastern areas: Moderate chance (65%) of mean daily rainfall up to 2.4 mm.

Southern areas: Moderate chance (65%) of mean daily rainfall up to 2.4 mm.

South-Western areas: Moderate chance (65%) of mean daily rainfall up to 2.4 mm.

Central, West-Central, and inland areas: Moderate chance (70%) of mean daily rainfall up to 2.4 mm.

Northern, North-Western areas: Moderate chance (65%) of mean daily rainfall up to 2.4 mm. 

Tobago Rainfall Forecast for the 15-Day period of  February (16^th to 28^th)  2026.

Figure 4.    Rainfall map of Tobago showing expected mean rainfall totals for districts across Tobago during the 15-day period  (16^th to 28^th February 2026) and percentage probability of occurrence.

North-Eastern areas: Moderate chance (65%) of mean daily rainfall up to 4.0 mm.

South-Western areas: Moderate chance (65%) of mean daily rainfall up to 3.1 mm.

Trinidad and Tobago:

The 16^th to 28^th February is expected to be mainly sunny to partly cloudy with brisk showers and hazy and breezy during significant bouts of Saharan dust/air. 

The first week,16th – 22nd, is less favorable to rainfall with a moderate (50%) chance of below normal rainfall. Meanwhile the second week is more conducive to rain clouds with a moderate (50%) chance of above normal rainfall 23rd to 28th. Most farm lands should maintain soil moisture and greenness especially across eastern, central Tobago and eastern Trinidad. During the 15-day period, 1^st to 15^th, forecast rainfall totals in Trinidad are expected to range between 17 mm and 54 mm favoring eastern Caroni Plains and the northeastern Northern Range, see figure 3. In Tobago, the 15-day forecast rainfall is expected to range between 35mm and 48 mm favouring farmlands on windward hillsides, see figure 4. 

Temperatures & Winds:

Heat Hazards have a moderate (45%) chance to occur over Trinidad and Tobago through 28^th February 2026. There is a moderate (35%) chance of above normal daytime temperatures and a moderate (60%) chance of above normal nighttime temperatures. Generally daily maximum temperatures up to 32 °C are forecast, favouring northwestern Trinidad. When factoring humidity on the hottest days, temperatures are expected to feel as hot as 33 °C to 35 °C. Generally nighttime minimum temperatures will be above 22 °C however cooler nights of 21°C or lower are possible in northern elevated/sheltered valleys such as Paramin, Lopinot and northern Main Ridge.

Generally easterly winds, moderate to fresh, of near normal wind speeds are expected with a moderate (70%) chance of occasional gusts of 50 km/h or higher on hilltops and exposed coastal areas. Evaporation rates up to 4.0 mm per day are expected but faster water loss is expected on breezy/windy days forecast during the period. 

Moisture levels:

Low to moderate moisture levels are expected across Trinidad and Tobago over the fifteen-day period, with daytime relative humidity values expected generally from the low-50s to mid-70s, in terms of percentage.

Highlighted Possible Impacts on Agriculture:

From the 16^th  to 28^th, no heat-related hazards are expected for farm workers, young livestock, newly germinated/ transplanted seedlings onto fields. Warm, drier conditions will provide a moderate (55%) chance for fungal spread, insect pests and diseases to develop in crop beds. Episodes of significant Saharan dust/air may affect small ruminants and poultry.

There remains a low risk of street/flash flooding, overfilling ponds, land slippage on fields and access roads. 

However strong and high winds expected are likely to damage young plants and flowering mature plants in exposed hillsides. 

Monitor crops and irrigate crops as needed especially in the flowering stage. Ensure regular weeding to reduce competition and water stress on crops. Implement pest and disease control measures as recommended. Continue to monitor streams and nearby watercourse levels. Maintain adequate drainage on fields. 

Sun and Moon Positions in the Sky February (16^th to 28^th) 2026.

The sun is presently at latitude 12° degrees South of the Equator. The day-length or number of sunlight hours in Trinidad and Tobago from February 16^th will be 11 hours, 48 minutes increasing to 11 hours, 55 minutes on February 28^th.

Moon Phases: New Moon, 17^th and First Quarter, 24^th. According to the tradition of moon phases: February 16^th – 18^th, 22^nd – 24^th are good days for planting above-ground crops; February 25^th – 27^th are good days for planting below-ground crops. Remaining days are poor planting days and useful for removing weeds, clearing land and ploughing fields.