Recent Weather Assessment for the period 16^th to 31^st October 2026

Recent Rainfall 

From 16^th to 31^st October 2026, rainfall was much below-normal across Tobago, Crown Point in southwest Tobago received 46.5 mm with two wet days (24^th ,29^th ). In Trinidad, rainfall was below normal at Piarco, 56.3 mm with three wet days (18^th ,29^th ,30^th ). The rainfall totals maps for the period 16^th to 31^st October 2026 for Trinidad and Tobago are located below as figure 1 and figure 2, respectively.

Map 1 and Map 2. Rainfall maps of Trinidad and Tobago showing measured rainfall totals for varying districts during the period  16^th to 31^st of October 2026. 

Recent Temperatures

From the 16^th to 31^st October 2026 in Trinidad, Piarco observed one hot day on 27^th (maximum temperature at least 34.0 ⁰C) however above-normal temperatures occurred on 13 days and 16 nights. In Tobago, Crown Point observed no hot days (maximum temperature at least 33.0 ⁰C) but above-normal temperatures occurred on 16 days and 15 nights. Factoring the relative humidity however, these temperatures had a ‘real feel’ that is higher than the observed maximum temperature. 

Agro-meteorological Forecast for the 15-Day period of November (1^st to 15^th) 2026

Date	Weather			Temperature	Heat Index ‘Feels Like’	Day Moisture (Relative Humidity)	Wind
1	70% chance of rainfall	3-12 mm of rainfall is possible	partly cloudy, isolated showers	Very Warm Max/Min Temperatures 33°C/25°C	Feels like 37°C-37°C	51-76%	East 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
2	70% chance of rainfall	3-10 mm of rainfall is possible	partly to mostly cloudy, isolated heavy shower & thunderstorm	Warm Max/Min Temperatures 32°C/26°C	Feels like 35°C-36°C	58-85%	East 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
3	70% chance of rainfall	1-10 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly to mostly cloudy, isolated heavy shower & thunderstorm	Very Warm Max/Min Temperatures 33°C/25°C	Feels like 37°C-38°C	56-85%	East 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
4	60% chance of rainfall	1-8 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly cloudy,hazy, isolated showers	Hot  Max/Min Temperatures 34°C/25°C	Feels like 38°C-40°C	54-85%	East-southeast 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
5	40% chance of rainfall	1-6 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly cloudy,hazy, isolated showers	Hot  Max/Min Temperatures 34°C/25°C	Feels like 38°C-39°C	51-80%	East-southeast 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
6	40% chance of rainfall	1-3 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly cloudy,hazy, isolated showers	Hot  Max/Min Temperatures 34°C/25°C	Feels like 37°C-39°C	52-80%	East-southeast 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
7	40% chance of rainfall	1-3 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly cloudy,hazy, isolated showers	Hot  Max/Min Temperatures 34°C/25°C	Feels like 37°C-39°C	51-80%	East-southeast 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
8	40% chance of rainfall	1-3 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly cloudy,hazy, isolated showers	Hot  Max/Min Temperatures 34°C/25°C	Feels like 37°C-39°C	51-75%	East-southeast 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
9	40% chance of rainfall	1-3 mm of rainfall is possible	partly to mostly cloudy,hazy, isolated showers	Hot  Max/Min Temperatures 34°C/25°C	Feels like 38°C-40°C	55-75%	East 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
10	40% chance of rainfall	1-3 mm of rainfall is possible	partly to mostly cloudy,hazy, isolated showers	Very Warm Max/Min Temperatures 33°C/24°C	Feels like 37°C-38°C	55-80%	East 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
11	40% chance of rainfall	1-3 mm of rainfall is possible	partly to mostly cloudy,hazy, isolated showers	Very Warm Max/Min Temperatures 33°C/25°C	Feels like 37°C-38°C	55-80%	East 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
12	80% chance of rainfall	2-10 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly to mostly cloudy, isolated heavy shower & thunderstorm	Very Warm Max/Min Temperatures 33°C/25°C	Feels like 37°C-38°C	55-80%	East 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
13	80% chance of rainfall	2-10 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly to mostly cloudy, isolated heavy shower & thunderstorm	Very Warm Max/Min Temperatures 33°C/25°C	Feels like 37°C-37°C	54-75%	East-northeast 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
14	80% chance of rainfall	2-10 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly to mostly cloudy, isolated heavy shower & thunderstorm	Very Warm Max/Min Temperatures 33°C/24°C	Feels like 36°C-36°C	50-75%	East-northeast 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h
15	80% chance of rainfall	2-10 mm of rainfall is possible	Partly to mostly cloudy, isolated heavy shower & thunderstorm	Very Warm Max/Min Temperatures 33°C/24°C	Feels like 35°C-36°C	50-75%	East-northeast 11-30 km/h Gust 50 km/h

Weather Outlook for the 15-Day period of November (1^st to 15^th) 2026

From 1^st to 15^th November 2026, partly to mostly cloudy skies and isolated showers however during wet days expect isolated heavy showers and/or thunderstorms accompanied by gusty winds. Tropical cyclone activity is not expected to affect Trinidad and Tobago during the 7 days up to 7^th November 2026. 

Wet Day / Wet Spell Outlook

Wet days ( ≥ 10 mm) are expected on 1^st - 3^rd and 12^th - 15^th November 2026, with a high flood risk on low-lying fields/ access roads during a 3-day wet spell. 

Rainfall

In Trinidad from 1^st to 15^th November 2026, near to below-normal rainfall is expected. High chance (75% to 80% probability) of the highest rainfall totals will range from 40 mm to 118 mm favouring the northeastern Northern Range near Sangre Grande, Valencia, North Oropouche, Maracas and Santa Cruz, see map 3. 

In Tobago from 1^st to 15^th November 2026, expect worsening drought conditions as below-normal rainfall is likely at Crown Point and southwestern Tobago with a high chance (75% probability) of the highest rainfall totals will range from 28 mm to 101 mm favouring inland hillsides of the Main Ridge, see map 4. 

Temperatures 

From 1^st to 15^th November 2026, high chance (80-90% probability) of moderate to severe heat hazards lasting three days over farmlands. Hot days are likely 4^th - 9^th November 2026 with daily maximum temperatures expected to reach 34°C in Trinidad and 33°C in Tobago, which could feel like 37 °C to 41 °C, when factoring humidity on the hottest days. Warmer than usual nights with minimum temperatures between 25-27°C are likely (high chance, 80% probability). 

Winds 

From 1^st to 15^th November 2026, expect near-normal strength wind speeds generally east to southeasterly. However, gusts 55 km/or higher are likely near thunderstorms. 

Moisture levels 

From 1^st to 15^th November 2026, humid conditions are expected with daytime relative humidity levels ranging from the low-50s to high-80s in terms of percentage. On hot days however, higher evaporation rates of 3 to 7 mm per day are expected to lower soil moisture across Tobago in particular. 

Trinidad Rainfall Forecast for the 15-Day period of November (1^st to 15^th) 2026

Figure 3.  Rainfall map of Trinidad showing expected mean rainfall totals for districts across Trinidad during the 15-day period (1^st to 15^th November 2026) and probability of occurrence.

Eastern and North-Eastern areas: High chance (80%) of mean daily rainfall up to 6.5 mm.

South-Eastern areas: High chance (80%) of mean daily rainfall up to 5.0 mm.

Southern areas: High chance (80%) of mean daily rainfall up to 4.2 mm.

South-Western areas: High chance (80%) of mean daily rainfall up to 4.1 mm.

Central, West-Central, and inland areas: High chance (75%) of mean daily rainfall up to 4.2 mm.

Northern, North-Western areas: High chance (75%) of mean daily rainfall up to 4.2 mm. 

Tobago Rainfall Forecast for the 15-Day period of November (1^st to 15^th) 2026

Figure 4.    Rainfall map of Tobago showing expected mean rainfall totals for districts across Tobago during the 15-day period (1^st to 15^th November 2026) and probability of occurrence.

North-Eastern areas: High chance (75%) of mean daily rainfall up to 5.5 mm.

South-Western areas: High chance (75%) of mean daily rainfall up to 3.6 mm.

Seasonal Precipitation forecast 

Moderate chances exist for generally below normal rainfall totals during November 2026 to January 2027 over Trinidad and Tobago with some pockets of near normal rainfall in central and south western Trinidad; with low to moderate flooding potential, see Rainfall and Temperature Outlook.

Poultry Heat Stress for November (1^st to 15^th) 2026

Sun and Moon Positions in the Sky for November (1^st to 15^th) 2026

On the 1^st November 2026, the sun lies at latitude 14.5 ° South of the Equator. The day-length or number of sunlight hours in Trinidad and Tobago on the 1^st will be 11 hours, 44.5 minutes decreasing to 11 hours, 38 minutes on the 15^th November 2026.

Moon Phases: Third Quarter 1^st and New Moon 9^th. According to the tradition of moon phases: November 6^th – 8^th are good days for planting below-ground crops, transplanting, pruning and harvesting. Remaining days are poor planting days and useful for removing weeds, clearing land and ploughing fields. November 9^th – 15^th are good days for planting above-ground crops.