Agro-Meteorological Forecast for the First Dekad (1st - 10th) of February, 2023



ISSUED AT: 12:37 PM

Date: Wednesday 1st of February 2023

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Figure 2.

Summary:

Low rainfall amounts are expected during the fifteen days.

Eight relatively wet days with rainfall amounts less than 5.0 mm are expected on the 4th-7th, 10th, 12th-14th of February, while seven relatively dry days with rainfall amounts less than 1.0 mm are expected on 1st-3rd, 8th-9th, 11th and 15th February 2023.

Trinidad and Tobago:  

Eight relatively wet days with rainfall amounts less than 5.0 mm are expected on the 4th-7th, 10th, 12th-14th of December, while seven relatively dry days with rainfall amounts less than 1.0 mm are expected on the 1st-3rd, 8th-9th, 11th and 15th February 2023. The daily rainfall totals are forecast to range between 0.0 mm to 5.0 mm across different farmlands, with fifteen-day rainfall totals ranging between 25.0 mm and 50.0 mm. The impactful rainfall events will mostly occur across the eastern, parts of Trinidad and south eastern Tobago.

Temperatures & Winds:

The maximum temperatures are expected to remain warm, with temperatures ranging between 30.0oC to 31.5oC throughout the period. However, temperatures are expected to have a real-feel or feels-like between 30.0oC to 33.0oC on most days. The minimum temperatures will range between 19.5oC to 23.0oC during most nights/early mornings, dropping lower in rural areas and valleys.

Mostly weak to moderate north-easterly to easterly winds of an average speed of 20-25 km/h are expected, with gusts of 30-35 km/h at times. Low rainfall totals, low to moderate wind speeds, cool to warm days and warm feels-like temperatures will sustain average evapotranspiration rates in crops ranging between 5.0 to 9.0 millimeters per day.

Moisture levels:

Over the fifteen-day period across Trinidad and Tobago, moisture levels are expected to be moderate to high, with average daytime relative humidity values in the upper-40s to lower-80s, in terms of percentage.

Highlighted Possible Impacts on Agriculture:

During this first 15-day forecast period of (1st to 15th) February 2023, expect similar conditions to occur as compared to the third 15-day (21st to 04th) January/February forecast period. There is a moderate probability (50%) chance for crop irrigation measures to take place owing to the drying out of soils during the forecast period. There is also a low probability (20%) chance for fungi spread, root and/or fruit rot, insect pests and warm weather diseases to develop in crop beds. River levels will remain at low levels during this forecast period.