ISSUED AT: 08:59 AM
Date: Tuesday 17th of January 2023
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Early Actions & Preparedness
ISSUED AT: 08:59 AM
Date: Tuesday 17th of January 2023
Rainfall and Temperature Outlook for Trinidad and Tobago, January to March 2023.
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Figure 1: Category of rainfall likely for JFM (January to March) 2023 with the highest chance of occurrence expressed as probabilities represented on the map. Blue areas indicate places with an increased chance for above-normal rainfall, brown areas show an increased chance for below-normal rainfall, while green areas show an increased chance for near-normal rainfall. Normal is defined by the rainfall that was observed in middle one-third of the JFM period rainfall totals during the historical period used to produce the outlook. |
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Figure 2: Risk of the JFM 2023 being extremely drier than normal (within the lowest 10% on record).
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Figure 3: Outlook of possible rainfall accumulated totals for January to March 2023, with the highest chance of occurring.
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Figure 4: Outlook of possible rainfall accumulated totals for January 2023, with the highest chance of occurring.
Figure 5: Category of rainfall likely for AMJ (April to June) 2023 with the highest chance of occurrence expressed as probabilities represented on the map. Blue areas indicate places with an increased chance for above-normal rainfall, brown areas show an increased chance for below-normal rainfall, while green areas show an increased chance for near-normal rainfall. Normal is defined by the rainfall observed in middle one-third of the AMJ period rainfall totals during the historical period used to produce the outlook.
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Figure 6: The map shows the colour-coded category (below-normal, above-normal, and near-normal) of mean temperatures that is most likely to occur across Trinidad and Tobago for the January to March (JFM) period 2023. The colour-coded bar-graph with the numbers to the right gives the likelihood for each forecast category to occur.
The Temperature Outlook Favours Normal Temperatures for January to March 2023
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Climatic Influencers and Context of the Outlook